Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000901 0.001023 0.001152 0.001298 0.001458 0.001628 0.001821
2025-03-09 0.000686 0.000851 0.001038 0.001262 0.001523 0.001814 0.002164
2025-03-16 0.000565 0.000746 0.000959 0.001226 0.001547 0.001919 0.002378
2025-03-23 0.000488 0.000681 0.000917 0.001224 0.001605 0.002058 0.002632
2025-03-30 0.000429 0.000629 0.000884 0.001223 0.001657 0.002186 0.002869
2025-04-06 0.000376 0.000579 0.000846 0.001212 0.001692 0.002289 0.003076
2025-04-13 0.000329 0.000530 0.000804 0.001190 0.001709 0.002367 0.003250
2025-04-20 0.000304 0.000511 0.000799 0.001216 0.001787 0.002523 0.003524
2025-04-27 0.000280 0.000489 0.000790 0.001233 0.001852 0.002661 0.003779
2025-05-04 0.000250 0.000456 0.000760 0.001220 0.001873 0.002742 0.003957
2025-05-11 0.000221 0.000421 0.000726 0.001197 0.001879 0.002801 0.004107
2025-05-18 0.000204 0.000405 0.000717 0.001209 0.001934 0.002925 0.004346
2025-05-25 0.000188 0.000387 0.000705 0.001218 0.001984 0.003047 0.004585
2025-06-01 0.000163 0.000354 0.000667 0.001184 0.001971 0.003079 0.004703
2025-06-08 0.000142 0.000323 0.000630 0.001149 0.001954 0.003104 0.004810
2025-06-15 0.000129 0.000306 0.000615 0.001147 0.001985 0.003196 0.005012
2025-06-22 0.000118 0.000291 0.000602 0.001146 0.002018 0.003292 0.005219
2025-06-29 0.000106 0.000273 0.000583 0.001136 0.002034 0.003363 0.005392
2025-07-06 0.000094 0.000254 0.000559 0.001115 0.002033 0.003408 0.005527
2025-07-13 0.000089 0.000250 0.000562 0.001140 0.002105 0.003561 0.005823
2025-07-20 0.000083 0.000243 0.000560 0.001156 0.002162 0.003695 0.006090
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000229 0.000542 0.001143 0.002172 0.003756 0.006253
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000213 0.000520 0.001121 0.002166 0.003793 0.006378